SYSTEMATIC INVESTMENT
  • Über
    • über Systinvest.com
    • Investmentphilosophie
  • Blog
  • Crash Protection
    • Letzter Stand
    • Philosophie
    • Crashphasen Charakteristika
    • Beispiele Marktrisiko
    • Backtests Crash Protection
  • wikifolios
    • Hebel +3faches Risikomanagement
    • Hebel Multistrategien
    • Marktzyklen offensiv gehebelt
    • Marktzyklen
    • Aktienwertselektion mit System
    • Alpha+Beta+Crash Risk Control
  • Analysen
    • Altersvorsorge >
      • Inflationsschutz - Aktien oder Gold?
      • Generationen Altersvorsorge
      • Sparplanvergleich Aktien/Lebensversicherung >
        • Berechnungsannahmen
        • Ohne Steuerbetrachtung
        • Effekt Abgeltungssteuer
        • Effekt Inflation
    • Anlagestrategien >
      • Vola und Sharpe Ratio
      • Aktien mit Vola 2%
      • Momentum
    • Historische Vergleiche >
      • DAX 2016
      • DAX vs S&P 500
  • About
    • About systinvest.com
    • Investment philosophy
  • Blog
  • Crash Protection
    • Latest Status
    • Philosophy
    • Crashperiod Characteristics
    • Examples Market Risk
    • Backtest Crash Protection
  • wikifolios
    • Leverage +3x Risk Management
    • Leverage Multistrategies
    • Marketcycles leveraged dynamically
    • Marketcycles
    • Systematic Stockpicking
    • Alpha + Beta + Crash Risk Control
  • Analyses
    • Pension >
      • Inflation protection - Stocks or Gold?
      • Cross-Generational Pension Plan
    • Investment Strategies >
      • Vola and Sharpe Ratio
      • Equity with 2% Vola
      • Momentum-en
    • Historical Backtests >
      • DAX 2016-en
      • S&P 500 vs DAX
  • Corona Virus
    • Break Out Check
    • Australia
    • Brazil
    • Canada
    • China
    • France
    • Germany
    • India
    • Iran
    • Italy
    • Japan
    • Mexico
    • New Zealand
    • Russia
    • Singapore
    • Spain
    • South Korea
    • Sweden
    • Switzerland
    • Turkey
    • UK
    • USA

Bertan's Financial Market Blog

Bertan's Market Review And Preview (9 May 2020)

5/9/2020

0 Comments

 
Market Review
The stock markets around the world have had another positive week. The signs that the panic is completely gone are increasing. This is despite the fact that economic data crosses unprecedented levels (applications for unemployment benefit USA, Chart 1). The corona crisis remains the dominant issue and a solution still seems a long way off. Nevertheless, the familiarization effect has set in among market participants, so that events such as the continuing high death rates in many countries (e.g. France, Italy and Spain with over 10%) and a sudden rapid increase in the numbers in Singapore no longer have any price relevance. As a result of the easing decided by local countries, there is still no negative trend in the number of new infections. In Germany, even the upcoming reopening of the first soccer league, Bundesliga, is pending.
The stock markets were able to continue the almost unabated success of the past few weeks. Some of the strongest markets come from the United States, the country most affected by the corona virus. The US indices rose 4-8% on a weekly basis. In Europe the picture is mixed, on average there is a slight gain of approx. +1%. The UK and medium-sized German companies from the MDAX are particularly strong at +4%. The southern European countries, on the other hand, tend to be neutral to slightly negative. The picture is mixed in Asia too. While Southeast Asia is slightly negative, India is losing -5% and lies therefore opposite compared to the global trend. Japan, China and Australia, on the other hand, are strong Asian markets with 4-8% gains in the past week.


Market Preview
he crash protection risk model provides further signs of relaxation. Even if the green signal on a daily basis has not yet been confirmed, this is becoming more and more likely. In the upcoming week, the global risk status could change from red to yellow. The positive signal is based equally on the regions of America, Europe and Asia.
Despite a temporary all-clear, investors should continue to act very carefully in the current environment. A build-up of the equity quota can be accompanied by put hedges to protect against the scenario of sudden panic losses. In my opinion, there are still many negative records and black swans slumbering in this market


chart 1: jobless claims USA
source: tradingeconomics.com
0 Comments



Leave a Reply.

    Author

    Bertan Gueler, CFA

    Archives

    June 2020
    May 2020
    April 2020
    March 2020

    Categories

    All
    Corona Virus
    Market Comment

    RSS Feed

Content
contact@systinvest.com
ÜBER
systinvest.com | Investmentphilosophie
BLOG
CRASH PROTECTION
Letzter Stand | Philosophie | Crashphasen Charakteristika | Beispiele Marktrisiko | Backtests
WIKIFOLIOS
ANALYSEN
​​Altersvorsorge | Anlagestrategien | Historische Vergleiche
CORONA VIRUS
Break Out Check
DISCLAIMER
DATENSCHUTZERKLÄRUNG
IMPRESSUM
Content
ABOUT
systinvest.com | Investment Philosophy
BLOG
CRASH PROTECTION
Latest Status | Philosophy | Crashperiod Characteristics | Examples Market Risk | Backtests
WIKIFOLIOS
ANALYSES
Pension | Investment Strategies |Historical Backtests
CORONA VIRUS
Break Out Check
DISCLAIMER
DATENSCHUTZERKLÄRUNG
IMPRESSUM
  • Über
    • über Systinvest.com
    • Investmentphilosophie
  • Blog
  • Crash Protection
    • Letzter Stand
    • Philosophie
    • Crashphasen Charakteristika
    • Beispiele Marktrisiko
    • Backtests Crash Protection
  • wikifolios
    • Hebel +3faches Risikomanagement
    • Hebel Multistrategien
    • Marktzyklen offensiv gehebelt
    • Marktzyklen
    • Aktienwertselektion mit System
    • Alpha+Beta+Crash Risk Control
  • Analysen
    • Altersvorsorge >
      • Inflationsschutz - Aktien oder Gold?
      • Generationen Altersvorsorge
      • Sparplanvergleich Aktien/Lebensversicherung >
        • Berechnungsannahmen
        • Ohne Steuerbetrachtung
        • Effekt Abgeltungssteuer
        • Effekt Inflation
    • Anlagestrategien >
      • Vola und Sharpe Ratio
      • Aktien mit Vola 2%
      • Momentum
    • Historische Vergleiche >
      • DAX 2016
      • DAX vs S&P 500
  • About
    • About systinvest.com
    • Investment philosophy
  • Blog
  • Crash Protection
    • Latest Status
    • Philosophy
    • Crashperiod Characteristics
    • Examples Market Risk
    • Backtest Crash Protection
  • wikifolios
    • Leverage +3x Risk Management
    • Leverage Multistrategies
    • Marketcycles leveraged dynamically
    • Marketcycles
    • Systematic Stockpicking
    • Alpha + Beta + Crash Risk Control
  • Analyses
    • Pension >
      • Inflation protection - Stocks or Gold?
      • Cross-Generational Pension Plan
    • Investment Strategies >
      • Vola and Sharpe Ratio
      • Equity with 2% Vola
      • Momentum-en
    • Historical Backtests >
      • DAX 2016-en
      • S&P 500 vs DAX
  • Corona Virus
    • Break Out Check
    • Australia
    • Brazil
    • Canada
    • China
    • France
    • Germany
    • India
    • Iran
    • Italy
    • Japan
    • Mexico
    • New Zealand
    • Russia
    • Singapore
    • Spain
    • South Korea
    • Sweden
    • Switzerland
    • Turkey
    • UK
    • USA