SYSTEMATIC INVESTMENT
  • Über
    • über Systinvest.com
    • Investmentphilosophie
  • Blog
  • Crash Protection
    • Letzter Stand
    • Philosophie
    • Crashphasen Charakteristika
    • Beispiele Marktrisiko
    • Backtests Crash Protection
  • wikifolios
    • Hebel +3faches Risikomanagement
    • Hebel Multistrategien
    • Marktzyklen offensiv gehebelt
    • Marktzyklen
    • Aktienwertselektion mit System
    • Alpha+Beta+Crash Risk Control
  • Analysen
    • Altersvorsorge >
      • Inflationsschutz - Aktien oder Gold?
      • Generationen Altersvorsorge
      • Sparplanvergleich Aktien/Lebensversicherung >
        • Berechnungsannahmen
        • Ohne Steuerbetrachtung
        • Effekt Abgeltungssteuer
        • Effekt Inflation
    • Anlagestrategien >
      • Vola und Sharpe Ratio
      • Aktien mit Vola 2%
      • Momentum
    • Historische Vergleiche >
      • DAX 2016
      • DAX vs S&P 500
  • About
    • About systinvest.com
    • Investment philosophy
  • Blog
  • Crash Protection
    • Latest Status
    • Philosophy
    • Crashperiod Characteristics
    • Examples Market Risk
    • Backtest Crash Protection
  • wikifolios
    • Leverage +3x Risk Management
    • Leverage Multistrategies
    • Marketcycles leveraged dynamically
    • Marketcycles
    • Systematic Stockpicking
    • Alpha + Beta + Crash Risk Control
  • Analyses
    • Pension >
      • Inflation protection - Stocks or Gold?
      • Cross-Generational Pension Plan
    • Investment Strategies >
      • Vola and Sharpe Ratio
      • Equity with 2% Vola
      • Momentum-en
    • Historical Backtests >
      • DAX 2016-en
      • S&P 500 vs DAX
  • Corona Virus
    • Break Out Check
    • Australia
    • Brazil
    • Canada
    • China
    • France
    • Germany
    • India
    • Iran
    • Italy
    • Japan
    • Mexico
    • New Zealand
    • Russia
    • Singapore
    • Spain
    • South Korea
    • Sweden
    • Switzerland
    • Turkey
    • UK
    • USA

Bertan's Financial Market Blog

Bertan's Market Review And Preview (2 May 2020)

5/2/2020

0 Comments

 
Market Review
Most stock markets have had a strong week. Almost without exception inidices moved upwards worldwide and ensured a good mood on the stock exchanges. On Thursday evening and on Friday, a public holiday, the tide turned again. Despite the losses that then occur, most stock markets are trading in the positive range of 2-7% on a weekly basis. The positive news about the Remdesivir remedy from the American pharmaceutical giant Gilead Sciences was cited as the reason. Tests have shown Remdesivir's positive effects against Covid-19. However, the proof was limited to the fact that it can significantly reduce the treatment time of the sick from around 15 to 11 days. Certainly good news with regard to impending bottlenecks in the healthcare system, but nothing more. Even the question of whether the remedy promises a greater chance of healing could not be proven. In my opinion, the news was regarded a little too positively by the market.

The corona crisis remains the dominant topic. Now that many countries are releasing the lockdown, it is exciting to see how the number of new infections develops. On this website, in addition to the growth rates in the individual countries, I have now also included the change in absolute numbers. The next weeks and months seem to be accompanied by phased changes between tightening and loosening the lockdowns. This will continue until the population is either infected or a vaccine is found. Unfortunately, bleak prospects. Not only for the economy, but also for the everyday life of every citizen.

Market Preview
Despite the current rally, nothing changed in my statement from the previous week. In my opinion, there are still many negative records and black swans slumbering in this market, investors should continue to exercise great caution.
The crash protection risk model already gives partial all-clear and provides the first green signals, which have not yet been confirmed. Since the panic is currently out of the market, you can see at least the first bullish signs on the model side. However, due to the dormant latent risks, I would prefer to build up the equity quota only by accompanied hedging instruments such as put options.

0 Comments



Leave a Reply.

    Author

    Bertan Gueler, CFA

    Archives

    June 2020
    May 2020
    April 2020
    March 2020

    Categories

    All
    Corona Virus
    Market Comment

    RSS Feed

Content
contact@systinvest.com
ÜBER
systinvest.com | Investmentphilosophie
BLOG
CRASH PROTECTION
Letzter Stand | Philosophie | Crashphasen Charakteristika | Beispiele Marktrisiko | Backtests
WIKIFOLIOS
ANALYSEN
​​Altersvorsorge | Anlagestrategien | Historische Vergleiche
CORONA VIRUS
Break Out Check
DISCLAIMER
DATENSCHUTZERKLÄRUNG
IMPRESSUM
Content
ABOUT
systinvest.com | Investment Philosophy
BLOG
CRASH PROTECTION
Latest Status | Philosophy | Crashperiod Characteristics | Examples Market Risk | Backtests
WIKIFOLIOS
ANALYSES
Pension | Investment Strategies |Historical Backtests
CORONA VIRUS
Break Out Check
DISCLAIMER
DATENSCHUTZERKLÄRUNG
IMPRESSUM
  • Über
    • über Systinvest.com
    • Investmentphilosophie
  • Blog
  • Crash Protection
    • Letzter Stand
    • Philosophie
    • Crashphasen Charakteristika
    • Beispiele Marktrisiko
    • Backtests Crash Protection
  • wikifolios
    • Hebel +3faches Risikomanagement
    • Hebel Multistrategien
    • Marktzyklen offensiv gehebelt
    • Marktzyklen
    • Aktienwertselektion mit System
    • Alpha+Beta+Crash Risk Control
  • Analysen
    • Altersvorsorge >
      • Inflationsschutz - Aktien oder Gold?
      • Generationen Altersvorsorge
      • Sparplanvergleich Aktien/Lebensversicherung >
        • Berechnungsannahmen
        • Ohne Steuerbetrachtung
        • Effekt Abgeltungssteuer
        • Effekt Inflation
    • Anlagestrategien >
      • Vola und Sharpe Ratio
      • Aktien mit Vola 2%
      • Momentum
    • Historische Vergleiche >
      • DAX 2016
      • DAX vs S&P 500
  • About
    • About systinvest.com
    • Investment philosophy
  • Blog
  • Crash Protection
    • Latest Status
    • Philosophy
    • Crashperiod Characteristics
    • Examples Market Risk
    • Backtest Crash Protection
  • wikifolios
    • Leverage +3x Risk Management
    • Leverage Multistrategies
    • Marketcycles leveraged dynamically
    • Marketcycles
    • Systematic Stockpicking
    • Alpha + Beta + Crash Risk Control
  • Analyses
    • Pension >
      • Inflation protection - Stocks or Gold?
      • Cross-Generational Pension Plan
    • Investment Strategies >
      • Vola and Sharpe Ratio
      • Equity with 2% Vola
      • Momentum-en
    • Historical Backtests >
      • DAX 2016-en
      • S&P 500 vs DAX
  • Corona Virus
    • Break Out Check
    • Australia
    • Brazil
    • Canada
    • China
    • France
    • Germany
    • India
    • Iran
    • Italy
    • Japan
    • Mexico
    • New Zealand
    • Russia
    • Singapore
    • Spain
    • South Korea
    • Sweden
    • Switzerland
    • Turkey
    • UK
    • USA